Vitry vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
13º
13º
24
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAS
6 - 0
VTR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VTR
0 - 4
STG
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 1
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
VTR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VTR
0 - 3
BRE
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
BAL
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NEU
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
SAR
49%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 0
MAI
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +2 |