Vitry vs Blanc Mesnil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
29
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
VTR
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VTR
0 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 2
VTR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
VTR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VTR
1 - 2
BRE
60%
20%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Blanc Mesnil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BRE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LMR
0 - 1
BLA
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
LUL
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 1
BLA
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
LMU
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |