Vitry vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
VTR
35%
23%
43%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VTR
1 - 1
IVR
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
VTR
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 0
ESA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VTR
3 - 1
PAR
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 0
LMR
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 1
AUB
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 3
PSG
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LMU
1 - 2
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |