Vitré vs La Roche-sur-Yon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
8º
1º
6
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
28% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 45% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 2
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
ANG
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 4
LAV
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
VIT
18%
18%
64%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
La Roche-sur-Yon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ESO
38%
22%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LRO
4 - 1
ESO
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ESO
2 - 0
SNA
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 2
ESO
20%
20%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |