Vitré vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
4º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 5
LOR
27%
27%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BLO
5 - 4
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 3
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
USF
10 - 2
UST
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SBR
0 - 4
USF
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
USF
2 - 0
PON
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
USF
4 - 1
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 1
USF
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |