Vitré vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 2
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIL
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 0
VIT
42%
26%
31%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
4 - 1
STA
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
LUS
4 - 0
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EVR
0 - 5
LUS
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
LUS
4 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
NIO
1 - 1
LUS
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCG
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |