Vitré vs Stade Brestois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
4º
26
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 2
VIT
21%
20%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
LOC
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 5
VIT
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 0
DOL
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
PON
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 2
SPM
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CES
0 - 1
BRE
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LOC
3 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |