Vitória vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JUA
1 - 3
VIT
14%
23%
64%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
COL
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 2
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 1
VIT
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
IPI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 1
ALA
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |