Vitória vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 1
VIT
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
VIT
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
20%
22%
59%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
FLU
88%
10%
3%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAR
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 0
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BPA
2 - 1
VIL
8%
14%
79%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
BPA
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |