Vitória vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Vitória Vasco da Gama
74 ELO 77
12.4% Tilt -5.6%
95º General ELO ranking 93º
13º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Vitória
25%
Draw
28.1%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
Vitória
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+7%
-9%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Vitória
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2017
ATL
Atlético GO
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
37%
28%
35%
75 68 7 0
02 Jul. 2017
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Bahía
BAH
57%
24%
20%
75 74 1 0
25 Jun. 2017
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
4 - 1
Vitória
VIT
51%
27%
23%
75 79 4 0
22 Jun. 2017
VIT
Vitória
0 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
29%
25%
46%
76 86 10 -1
19 Jun. 2017
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 3
Vitória
VIT
49%
26%
25%
75 74 1 +1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
26%
26%
48%
76 85 9 0
03 Jul. 2017
COT
Coritiba
2 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
43%
27%
30%
77 77 0 -1
25 Jun. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
61%
24%
15%
76 68 8 +1
22 Jun. 2017
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
57%
24%
20%
77 81 4 -1
18 Jun. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Avaí
AVA
63%
23%
14%
77 67 10 0