Vitória vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
2.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 0
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
CFC
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 0
BAH
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 2
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
SDJ
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |