Baiano 1 Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Vitória vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 3
VIT
5%
13%
82%
|
72 | 28 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 3
VIT
13%
22%
66%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
FLA
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 2
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 3
VIT
13%
22%
66%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CUI
31%
29%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
SDJ
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
SDJ
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 0
JEC
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |