Vitória vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
SDF
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 4
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SDF
0 - 0
VIT
11%
18%
71%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JUA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
2 - 2
SER
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 0
SDJ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ALA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |