Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-0
Vitória vs Sao Domingos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 4
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SDF
0 - 0
VIT
11%
18%
71%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
89%
9%
3%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Domingos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SDF
2 - 1
SOC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SDF
0 - 0
VIT
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OSE
1 - 5
SDF
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SDF
0 - 3
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
0 - 1
SDF
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |