Vitória vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
FLA
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCI
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 3
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 4
PAL
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |