Vitória vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
COR
2 - 0
VIT
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
VIT
3 - 0
RIO
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
RIO
0 - 0
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAH
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 1
ANA
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
ANA
1 - 2
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |