Vitória vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CRZ
4 - 0
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 4
SAO
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
COT
5 - 1
VIT
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 2
SCI
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
PPE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PPE
2 - 3
ATP
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
6 - 1
PPE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |