Vitória vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
VIT
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
CHA
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
5 - 2
VIT
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 3
SCI
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CRZ
17%
27%
57%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAH
27%
30%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLU
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |