Vitória vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 2
VIT
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
CSA
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
ALE
1 - 1
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
1 - 3
VIT
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
NAC
0 - 1
FOR
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ATM
0 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
POR
2 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |