Vitória vs Jacobinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
ADA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SDJ
3 - 1
VIT
11%
21%
67%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 4
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Jacobinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 1
ALA
18%
19%
62%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
BAH
7%
16%
78%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
3 - 2
JEC
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
JEC
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |