Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-2
Vitória vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SCI
1 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
6 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
JMA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 1
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
JMA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |