Vitória vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 4
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
7 - 0
CFC
88%
8%
3%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
0 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
IPI
0 - 2
VIT
13%
20%
66%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 4
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |