Vitória vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
10%
21%
69%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
4 - 0
FFC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
SPO
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |