Vitória vs Grêmio Barueri analysis

Vitória Grêmio Barueri
76 ELO 70
10.6% Tilt -8%
342º General ELO ranking 22114º
29º Country ELO ranking 671º
ELO win probability
58.1%
Vitória
22.8%
Draw
19.2%
Grêmio Barueri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
Vitória
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.2%
Win probability
Grêmio Barueri
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Vitória
Grêmio Barueri
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2010
GOI
Goiás EC
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
54%
24%
22%
76 76 0 0
07 Oct. 2010
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
65%
21%
14%
76 85 9 0
02 Oct. 2010
VIT
Vitória
0 - 3
Grêmio
GRE
34%
26%
41%
77 85 8 -1
30 Sep. 2010
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
53%
26%
22%
77 79 2 0
26 Sep. 2010
VIT
Vitória
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
36%
26%
39%
77 84 7 0

Matches

Grêmio Barueri
Grêmio Barueri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2010
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
2 - 3
São Paulo
SAO
27%
26%
46%
71 85 14 0
07 Oct. 2010
GRE
Grêmio
4 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
69%
19%
12%
72 85 13 -1
02 Oct. 2010
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
27%
26%
48%
72 85 13 0
30 Sep. 2010
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
4 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
51%
26%
24%
71 67 4 +1
25 Sep. 2010
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
55%
23%
22%
72 73 1 -1