Vitória vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
JEC
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
COT
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 2
VIT
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 2
CRB
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |