Vitória vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAO
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 3
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FFL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
6 - 0
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
GAM
1 - 2
FLU
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
4 - 3
FFL
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |