Vitória vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIT
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
VIT
1 - 0
CEN
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
GUA
4 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
GUA
0 - 0
FLU
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
FLU
1 - 0
GRE
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
FLU
0 - 0
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
FLU
2 - 0
GOI
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |