Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Vitória vs Feirense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
ABC
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
6 - 1
FEI
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUA
0 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
6 - 1
FEI
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
FEI
34%
25%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
4 - 0
SDJ
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |