Vitória vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
4 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 1
VIT
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 2
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
BAH
3 - 2
PPE
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 2
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 1
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
GOI
3 - 0
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |