Vitória vs Cruzeiro analysis

Vitória Cruzeiro
76 ELO 85
11.3% Tilt -9.5%
339º General ELO ranking 115º
29º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
30.5%
Vitória
24.9%
Draw
44.6%
Cruzeiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
Vitória
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.6%
Win probability
Cruzeiro
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+5%
+4%
Cruzeiro

ELO progression

Vitória
Cruzeiro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2010
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
72%
17%
11%
77 84 7 0
30 Oct. 2010
VIT
Vitória
4 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
43%
26%
31%
76 82 6 +1
27 Oct. 2010
NAU
Náutico
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
31%
26%
43%
75 61 14 +1
23 Oct. 2010
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
68%
19%
13%
76 83 7 -1
20 Oct. 2010
VIT
Vitória
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
63%
21%
16%
76 71 5 0

Matches

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2010
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
51%
24%
25%
86 85 1 0
30 Oct. 2010
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 2
Cruzeiro
CRZ
24%
24%
52%
86 71 15 0
24 Oct. 2010
CRZ
Cruzeiro
3 - 4
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
63%
21%
16%
86 79 7 0
17 Oct. 2010
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
86 85 1 0
10 Oct. 2010
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
54%
23%
22%
86 84 2 0