Vitória vs Corumbaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
3 - 1
VIT
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
GLO
0 - 2
VIT
6%
15%
79%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
89%
9%
3%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 1
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AEC
1 - 2
VIT
3%
8%
90%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 0
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
7DE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
COR
0 - 2
LUV
25%
25%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
URS
0 - 1
COR
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |