Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Vitória vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
COT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
VIT
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
COT
2 - 1
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
PPE
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
COT
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |