Vitória vs Coritiba analysis

Vitória Coritiba
74 ELO 74
18.3% Tilt -7.7%
95º General ELO ranking 291º
13º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Vitória
24.7%
Draw
24.4%
Coritiba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
Vitória
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
Coritiba
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+7%
-8%
Coritiba

ELO progression

Vitória
Coritiba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2016
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
42%
28%
31%
74 74 0 0
24 Jul. 2016
VIT
Vitória
2 - 3
Santos FC
SAN
26%
26%
48%
74 87 13 0
21 Jul. 2016
CRZ
Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Vitória
VIT
66%
21%
13%
74 83 9 0
17 Jul. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
56%
25%
19%
74 79 5 0
11 Jul. 2016
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
41%
25%
34%
74 80 6 0

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2016
COT
Coritiba
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
39%
27%
34%
76 80 4 0
23 Jul. 2016
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
Coritiba
COT
45%
27%
28%
75 74 1 +1
19 Jul. 2016
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 1
Coritiba
COT
71%
18%
11%
75 84 9 0
09 Jul. 2016
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
43%
27%
31%
76 77 1 -1
02 Jul. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Coritiba
COT
62%
22%
16%
75 80 5 +1