Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Vitória vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
AVA
4 - 0
VIT
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
COT
1 - 3
CRZ
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
COT
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 2
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
COT
2 - 2
BOT
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
53%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |