Vitória vs Corinthians analysis

Vitória Corinthians
76 ELO 85
8.6% Tilt -9.3%
342º General ELO ranking 80º
29º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
32.8%
Vitória
26.6%
Draw
40.7%
Corinthians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
Vitória
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.7%
Win probability
Corinthians
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+5%
-1%
Corinthians

ELO progression

Vitória
Corinthians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2010
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Treze
TRE
83%
12%
5%
76 51 25 0
14 Nov. 2010
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
28%
29%
43%
76 65 11 0
07 Nov. 2010
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
31%
25%
45%
77 85 8 -1
03 Nov. 2010
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
72%
17%
11%
77 84 7 0
30 Oct. 2010
VIT
Vitória
4 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
43%
26%
31%
76 82 6 +1

Matches

Corinthians
Corinthians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2010
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
46%
25%
29%
85 85 0 0
07 Nov. 2010
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 2
Corinthians
COR
50%
25%
25%
85 85 0 0
04 Nov. 2010
COR
Corinthians
4 - 0
Avaí
AVA
62%
21%
17%
85 78 7 0
28 Oct. 2010
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
47%
26%
27%
85 84 1 0
24 Oct. 2010
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
56%
24%
21%
84 83 1 +1
X