Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-3
Vitória vs Corinthians AL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 3
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
VIT
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
IPI
85%
11%
5%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians AL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
3 - 1
COR
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
VIT
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
COR
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |