Vitória vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 3
VIT
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
CON
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
LAG
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 3
CON
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |