Copa do Nordeste Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Vitória vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIT
12%
21%
68%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 2
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEA
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |