Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Vitória vs Camaçari FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
GOI
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CFC
2 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 1
BAH
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIT
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
5 - 0
NAU
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Camaçari FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CFC
2 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CFC
3 - 2
FLU
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FEI
0 - 1
CFC
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 3
CFC
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
CFC
0 - 3
BAH
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |