Vitória vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
VIT
3 - 0
GOI
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCI
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
COT
0 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SCI
2 - 1
BOT
43%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COT
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |