Vitória vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 0
SCI
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
3 - 2
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 2
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 3
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 1
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |