Vitória vs Barcelona BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 3
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
ABC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
JAC
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
JEC
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
JAC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BAH
7%
17%
76%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
ADA
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |