Vitória vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
JAC
0 - 1
VIT
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPO
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIT
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
VIL
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
6 - 1
JEC
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAH
54%
27%
19%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 2
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
BAH
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 0
NAC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |