Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Vitória vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 4
VIT
10%
17%
72%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 0
BRA
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 3
ABC
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIT
8%
16%
76%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 2
AEC
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |