Vitória vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAS
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAL
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 4
ATP
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |