Vitória vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
GOI
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
37%
26%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 0
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ATP
2 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
GAM
4 - 1
ATP
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
ATP
2 - 1
SPO
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATP
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
ATP
6 - 3
BAH
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |