Copa do Brasil Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Vitória vs Atlético GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLA
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
ATL
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |