Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-2
Vitória vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
CEA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIT
12%
21%
68%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 2
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
ANA
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 1
CNO
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIT
12%
21%
68%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 1
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANA
0 - 2
GOI
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | -1 |