Vitória vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
COT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 2
CHA
30%
28%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
AMF
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 0
GRE
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |