Vitória vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
4 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 1
VIT
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
AMF
2 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 2
AMF
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
AMF
2 - 0
GAM
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 4
PPE
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
AMF
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |